Notes
Outline
St. Paris Retail Trade Area Analysis
Elena Irwin
Assistant Professor
March 8, 2000
Retail Market Analysis Steps
Market comparison: identify local trade area and competing trade areas
Business cluster analysis
Demographic trend analysis
Retail trade area analysis
Customer survey analysis
Results from Mapping of Business Locations
5 mile businesses
1 mile businesses
Downtown businesses
business names
Businesses by type chart
Businesses by type chart downtown
%businesses within radius
%businesses within radius (by type)
St. Paris Business Locations
Strengths
Most businesses are tightly clustered within downtown area.
Downtown Anchors:
Bank
Library
Post Office
Possible Weakness
Larger number of commercial services than retail.
Revised Calculations of Retail Sales Surplus/Leakage
Surplus/Leakage Calculations
How do the potential retail sales compare to the actual retail sales?
Surplus: Actual sales are greater than potential sales.
Leakage: Potential sales are greater than actual sales.
trade area boundary
trade areas
Total Retail Sales by Type of Establishment for St. Paris Trade Area
Retail Sectors for which St. Paris has a Surplus (1998)
Possible Determinants of Surplus
Increase in purchasing power
Market niche
Unique or unusual retail product*
Size of retail store relative to competition
Complementary businesses*
Multi-destination shopping trips
Other attractions*
For example, recreational destination
* Can apply to small downtowns in more rural areas
hardware
florist
bakery
appliances
Retail Sectors for which St. Paris has Sales but a Leakage
Possible Determinants of Leakages
Decrease in purchasing power (per capita income)
Improved highways/road access
Improved communications technology
For example, internet
Increased work commutes
Accessibility to metro areas
Regional malls and discount stores
sport
furniture
drugstore
grocery
restaurant
nursery
electronics
gas
Retail Sectors for which St. Paris has no sales* (by establishment)
candy
bars
hobby
books
apparel
paint
dept
Retail Development Strategies
Support retail sectors that have current surplus
Target existing businesses that have  leakages
Why are customers leaving area to shop for these goods?  How can existing businesses better compete?
Target new businesses that can take advantage of a market opportunity
What goods/services are not currently provided for which there would be local demand?
Target urban/suburban markets
distinguish from big box retail
per capita income trends
St. Paris Possible Strategies
Capitalize on “small town” niche to draw from regional market
Historic downtown with many small businesses
Location: within 20 miles of major suburban populations
New market opportunities to satisfy local demand
Potential Niche Markets* for Downtown Area
Those with Surplus:
Florist
Bakery
Hardware
Existing Businesses with Leakages:
Restaurant
Grocery
Drug Store
* Markets that may provide unique or unusual goods or markets that satisfy local demand.
Potential Niche Markets for Downtown Area
Potential New Opportunities:
Candy
Books
Hobby
Note: St. Paris has a variety store, but the amount of surplus/leakage is unknown (this is a problem with the retail sales data).
Next Step: Customer Survey
Do you shop downtown? If so why?
multiple trips?
Do you shop in other areas? Why?
what goods/services draw people away?
malls or discount stores?
Do you commute for work? If so, where?
What would make downtown more of a “draw” for you?
Socio-demographic information
Location of residence